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Originally Posted by
FrostyPaws
There is no factual data that can be used across the board to prove one way is better than another. Unless you have factual data from everyone that's ever owned dogs on how they do dogs, you will have nothing more than a small sample that can be swayed one way or another.
Strictly-speaking, you're right.
However, when you hear people talk about their low numbers, that usually is the result of either a person's poor knowledge of genetics and/or their poor practices.
This is as simple as I can put "the way things work," and I don't see how any knowledgeable dogman could disagree with the following:
Good genetics + good practices = higher percentage success.
Bad genetics + bad practices = lower percentage success.
It's pretty much that simple (plus any combinations thereof).
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Originally Posted by
FrostyPaws
What's left from a man's yard is usually dictated on how they look at their yard. Percentages pertaining to what? Dogs making it to the box? Dogs actually winning? Dogs being game? Overall percentages can be construed in numerous ways. I know someone that said they've not had a dog quit in 6 years. While that's true, they leave out the fact of picking up dogs at the first sign of trouble. They leave out the fact of picking up dogs, during shows, when they're looking like they're going to pack it in. Maybe the most time they see out of a potential brood dog is 20-30 minutes, and they breed it. Once everything is factored into these individuals and how they do things, the “percentages” are shown in an entirely different light.
Well, the only percentages that can actually be measured is win/loss; the rest is speculation and/or opinion.
I understand what you're saying, but a lot of what you call "factors" are merely opinions. If a dog gets matched and wins, it wins. Whether it made a bad sign or not isn't a "factor," it's an opinion. If the dog loses, it loses, and if it scratches after it is picked up, then it scratches, and any "opinions" as to what may or may not have happened "after that" mean nothing. Now, if the owner fails to courtesy scratch, then I agree the owner is hiding something. But if he courtesies, and the dog scratches, that is all the dog can do.
Furthermore, "how hard" a dog is looked at in school means nothing either as to a win/loss record. I sold a dog to a good dogman in Canada. He matched the dog from me into a son of a well-known Champion, and the camp who brought the opponent claimed have "high standards," declaring they had two-dogged their charge for :50 ... and they said their dog would "never quit" ... but yet their dog quit to my dog in :53. The dogmen who lost could not believe their dog quit to the one dog from me where he did not quit to 2 dogs before. Why is that?
Different opponents yield different levels of control, therefore different results.
Different days yield different results.
Different states of condition/health yield different results.
Finally, there are also a lot of people who have good records, yet they really haven't matched into a top-caliber animal, nor produced a top-caliber animal. They win/lose against done-nothing dogs, or (maybe) a 1xW, into local boys. They have never faced a highly-regarded dogman, or a highly-regarded dog (nor have they produced one). In other words, the dogs they 'win' with are always against mediocre competition, so they might have been losers against elite competition, etc.
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Originally Posted by
FrostyPaws
I would rather associate with men that could show me something I've missed over time, and I've learned things from both of those individuals. A lot of the men I know that were hard on their dogs gave their dogs all the chances they were willing to give their dogs. Not all dogs, given every chance in the world, are going to amount to anything that we define as a sport. If you do everything you can for a D class dog, it's still a D class dog, and most people don't want D class dogs for any particular reason.
I agree.
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Originally Posted by
FrostyPaws
I guess we think about different things when we think of men who only want the best. The men I knew that did that didn't just cull dogs because they didn't start at 16 months old. They weren't idiots. A couple of them usually gave their dogs until the age of 3 to get with the program. It didn't always pan out for them. Some only gave them until the age of 2 to start. Those men knew their dogs. If the dogs didn't meet what it was they wanted, they did what they thought was best for their yard.
I don't know what you think about when you think about the best, but what I think about is producing the kind of dog that will whip and stop anything it faces its weight ... no matter whose hands they're in ... because, genetically, that dog has the athleticism, intelligence, drive, and mettle to do so. I pretty much agree with the rest of what you said.
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Originally Posted by
FrostyPaws
You're right about green dogmen. I guess I just don't think about greenhorns much as I generally don't deal with them. I know I've slowed down a lot on my rush to judgement over the years as I think most people do that are successful within dogs. Greenhorns will make every mistake in the book usually unless they have someone that is actually looking out for their best interest and their dog's best interest.
And that is exactly why I made this post, because there are a lot of people still rushing their dogs and doing stupid shit with them. Not everyone has the same level of experience you do, but "even you" can (and eventually did) benefit by not being in such a hurry to make a decision on a dog, but instead to put more time into the dog and let it mature and get schooled before doing so.
In my case (and I know you have heard this story before, but it bears repetition here), my Diamond Girl bitch quit in :05 on her first roll. She half-heartedly defended herself, scratched once, and then refused to go. All the "tough, hardcore" dogmen there told me to put the bitch down, but I ignored their stupid advice because she was just a 16 month old puppy, and I could just see she wasn't ready yet. Diamond Girl was never fully "on" until she was 3+ years old ... but when she did turn on, she proved to be as game as any dog I have ever bred. She produced an extremely-high percentage of game dogs, put Ch Nico Jr. on the ROM list when she produced Ch Buster (4xW), who was put down in a raid in-keep for #5. Diamond Girl is behind multiple Champions, 2 Grand Champions, one of which was the Philippine Dog of the Year for 2006.
The moral of the story is patience is a virtue, and giving dogs time to mature pays off, which is why the best dogmen are patient, which is the subject of this thread.
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Originally Posted by
FrostyPaws
The thing about trying to factor in how dogs win is actually seeing what they win over. This is just how I see it. I've seen many dogs win over 3 subpar and average dogs in my day, but those dogs are still Champions. It's not the dog's fault his opponent wasn't up to snuff. He did his job as he was supposed to do. There are ton of people who show a ton of dogs because they simply want to show dogs. That's what they want. And if the dog looks good in a few rolls against some dogs, then they take their chances and hope for the best. A lot of times, they're simply showing average dogs. That is how a lot of shows are done, won, and lost. The percentages are high for these kennels until they meet someone who actually brings a match quality dog to a match and not just some dog they want to show. All competition is not created equally, and to me, that's the crux of the entire percentage aspect.
This is true, and that is essentially what I said a couple paragraphs above.
I know my dogs have faced the very best in the world, beaten Champions owned by some of the most competitive kennels in the world, done so without getting touched in some case, gone 2-3 hours into the best in the world, crawled 100% DG into the best in the world ... "as well as" won over no-name competition.
I don't know all the specifics of what you've done, but I know I can say that about my dogs ... which have done so for 2 decades ... that they have competed with and BEAT the very best in the world ... and that they have also lost 100% DG to the very best in the world ... taking multi-winning dogs longer than all their previous opponents put together. I don't know how many people can honestly make the same statement. Beating "a dog" in a known dogman's hands isn't the same as beating his best Champion in that same man's hands.
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Originally Posted by
FrostyPaws
If every dog that was shown would meet an equal opponent, then I guess percentages would mean more to me than they do. While it's nice to hear that a dog, or dogs, that you bred won, it simply doesn't mean that much to me unless the man that won REALLY knows what a quality dog is, and that man feels like he beat a quality dog and not just some average dog someone wanted to show.
I don't think any dogman has always put his dogs into the very best, every time, and that includes you.
Again, beating "a" dog in a known dogman's hands isn't the same as beating his finest Champion, etc. Therefore, unless you are always facing Champions, Grand Champions, DOYs, etc., you too are competing against "lesser dogs" yourself to some degree. Everyone is. Therefore, all things are relative, and therefore all wins mean something ... precisely because the dog that was put in there won, which becomes a statistical fact, and which win increases the factual record of the dogman.
Of course, I agree that quality of competition (in both dogs and men) alters "our perception" as to the worth of that win, but it doesn't alter the fact that both dogs won. For example, when Prime Ape recently won in 1:43 over a local dogman, it did not mean quite as much to me as when Ch Vengence destroyed GDI's Ch Soldier in :43, killed him without getting a hole in his skin, made the cover of Scratchback Magazine, and was featured in an article Rudy wrote, "The Best Dogs I have Ever Seen," etc.
Yet THE FACT IS Prime Ape still won, my percentages remain where they are, and I am still proud of that dog for his win. And another fact is, which again relates to the subject of this thread, Ch Vengence (like Diamond Girl) also quit when he was 16 months old ... in like :08 ... and yet, as a fully-mature dog, he whipped some of the best dogmen of his time, using the best dogs they owned, including killing a Champion his weight without getting bit back, as well as spotting weight and coming from way behind to win over Openhouse. So not only did Vengence win his last in 1:20, coming from behind, but he was also pushing 2 lb of weight.
Which, again, proves the point of this post ... allowing a dog to mature, and being patient, pays off 
Jack